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#1 |
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Mumbai, India
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REAL ESTATE MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES
For the benefit of our readers, we have reproduced key extracts from SEBI Mutual Funds Regulations Amendment Act, April 2008 in connection with REMFs Definitions 49A. For the purposes of this Chapter, unless the context otherwise requires-
49B.
49C .
49D.
49E.
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Ram |
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#2 |
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Unregistered User
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Hi,
This article is really a good read and very informative..... Keep up the good work........ |
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#3 |
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Unregistered User
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Stock market crashes almost always precede a real estate bust, and there is no reason why it should be different this time.
Several analysts are waxing glory about the Indian real estate market, creating a belief that it can never collapse. However, history has proven that there is a direct correlation between the stock markets and real estate markets, with a time lag of usually 6 months to 1 year. If the Nifty and Sensex do not make new highs by June 2008, India’s real estate market will start accelerating downward. By this yardstick, we have another 3 months before the property dream becomes really sour. However, this doesn’t mean that all will be hunky-dory for those who have invested in property. Until then, prices will not rise; at best they will stagnate or remain in a state of limbo – both sellers and buyers won’t budge. Whenever the stock markets have passed through boom times, demand for – and consequently prices – of property have gone high. Likewise, in depressed stock markets, property prices tend to soften. The reason for this relation between the two markets is that, in rising markets, investors find real estate as the ideal place to park the huge gains made in the stock markets, leading to escalation in prices; conversely, in a falling market disposal of property is the quickest way to cover losses, leading to a fall in property prices. History is replete with examples to confirm this nexus. The most glaring is Japan. It has never recovered since its real estate boom and subsequent bust of 1985–90. India incidentally is exhibiting the same pattern as the Japanese cycle.
Many other individual investors, who have purchased multiple properties with their own funds or loans for speculative purposes now have to sell some of their property before prices go down further. The question many ask is why did the fall of May 2006 not trigger a real estate crash, in fact real estate reached even higher heights since then. The answer is again in the stock markets. After May 2006, the stock market recovered within 6-8 weeks and even touched a new high, thus buoying real estate prices with it. However, when the massive sudden fall in the Indian stock markets was seen, there were reports from Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Ahmedabad and Coimbatore that clearly indicated that property prices (specifically residential property) dropped 10 to 15 percent off their highs. Fresh buying had come to a screeching halt in all major cities. The current scenario in 2008 paints a picture of almost every retail investor waiting for the market to rally up to new highs and this is a huge gamble to take. If the stock markets do not make new highs, and in all probability they will not, it will be no surprise for real estate prices to drop by up to 30 -40 percent in the near future. However, it is not just the stock market that is responsible for downturn in the property market. Other factors that escalate a crash are:
A stock market crash is just a trigger. Usually, property prices reach unsustainable levels on account of huge speculative demand, and the real estate market collapses under its own weight. |
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