Venkytalks

Looks like SP Congress RLD combine is the front runner by a good margin - not withstanding every IREF mrmbers desire to see BSP/BJP come to power - just wishful thinking - the original prediction of change is likely to prevail.

Let us see

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Venky

LChand

are you following "Star News"?

rrmanglesh

There will be reversal of positions from 8th Feb.

Congress might actually do well to make Rahul Gandhi PM by replacing Manmohan Singh before May 2012. They will find able partners in SP in the central govt.

BJP will also do good but nowhere near this forum is expecting. But they will mostly be king makers in most of the states till Lohiri this year. I am sure BJP supports will have a lot to cheer then onwards.

In UP, Mayawati will edge out SP and find BJP rallying behind BSP.

P Chidambram got a reprieve today but it's just beginning of his story. He has is going to face tough music later this year. It has been sure that he would not be able to recover from this setback.

amarakbar

It is clear that no party will get a clear majority. Congress is improving by the day and BSP is going down.

It is also clear that no party wants to associate with BSP in govt. formation as it will blunt its image for the all important 2014 General elections.

BJP cannot support SP.

So only alternative is Cong + SP. But if congress backs out considering 2014 elections then only alternative is President Rule.

President Rule= Congress rule

vatsalbajpai

Haa bhai, agar congress ka leader pranab babu ko banana hain to chidambaram ko to jana hi padega naa...

vicky6

It looks curtain for BMW and red carpet for SP+Cong+RLD. Soon ,new airport at Jewar should be a good news for YEW plotholders and GN. NH24 widening should be a good news for Gbd/Noida. High Speed train to Meerut should be good news for that region. For Noida, metro to Sec 62 and Botanical garden is coming anyway- airport should bring Noida closer to give competition to Gurgaon. For NE holders it can only be neutral or bad news.
Overall, change looks a better deal except for uncertainty on NE.

Quote
Bookies bet on SP to bag 137 seats
Deep Saxena & Rohit K Singh deep.saxena@hindustantimes.com
LUCKNOW:

Move over ball-to-ball cricket and Sensex betters. The bookies have started getting more active as the first phase of UP assembly elections nears.
The initial `satta' is set only on party tally, as the elections will take place in seven phases beginning February 8. Bets on winning candidates, chief ministerial candidates, coalition matrix and vote percentages will catch-up as the nomination process ends.
The illegal market is expecting Samajwadi Party (SP) to bag 137 seats with an upper limit of 141 seats. With anti-incumbency factor attached to the ruling BSP, the bookies are expecting it to gain anything between 118 and 122 seats.
“This is not the final tally.
Going forward with the days, polling phases, political development and controversies, the tallies will keep changing the betting analysis,“ tells an insider who is active amongst the betting arena.
Contrary to its 20-year-old history, the Bharatiya Janta Party according to the punters' list stands to bag a meagre 52 to 56 seats. The biggest gainer, the bookies say, will be the Congress They are betting on the party to remain third in the state with a tally of 66 and a buffer of 3 more seats.
“Punters consider the BJP a safe bet. In fact, as it gathers momentum it can even beat bookies estimate,“ he adds.
Police claim they are keeping a close watch on the betting market and have some phone numbers on their radar.
“The betting is going on secretly now. We will tighten the noose when it come out in the open just before the counting day,“ said a police officer on condition of anonymity.

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