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Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

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Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

Last updated: March 7 2012
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  • Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

    Dear friends,


    Media has given full fledged verdict that SP will form the next government in UP.

    But according to my astrological observations,

    1. Mayawati will emerge leading CM candidate in this election
    2. Mulayam Singh Yadav will having fluctuating fortunes in this elections. In first week of January, I had predicted that Mulayam Singh will become irrelevant in this election and he has already become even before results are out. I don't have Akhilesh Yadav horoscope thus he is my X factor but still SP is under Mulayam. Thus, SP will not perform up to the level exit polls are predicting. It will most likely challenge BSP to no 1 position.
    3. BJP: I was quite certain that BJP will consolidate smartly and they are doing it. Media has taken U-turn confirms this fact.
    4. Congress: Congress will do very badly.

    My Seat Predictions
    BSP: 120 -140+
    SP : 90 -140 (large band due to x-factor of Akhilesh Yadav)
    BJP : 80 -110
    Congress : 10 - 35 (without RLD)

    Post Election Scenario
    1. Mayawati will be strong contender of CM post and she is likely to get unexpected support this time around.
    2. Mualayam Singh will not be CM of UP
    3. BJP will be coalition partner in the new government not in UP but in most of the states.
    4. Congress will not have any say in the post poll scenario.

    Who votes whom ?
    1. Dalits and Most backward class for Mayawati. She would have got very good % of Muslim vote too
    2. Upper cast, OBC and Women got divided in between SP & BJP
    3. Youth will not influence the election result contrary to Media predictions
    4. Thakur votes will play very important role in influencing results

    Influential votes:
    1. Election results will give clear indication that corruption, democratic rights, black money, Lokpal and development are bigger agendas they voted for.

    Future in next 2-3 years:

    1. Mayawati will emerge as strong Dalit leader after this election. Her stock will explode at pan India level in next 2 years. But her corruption will give her bad reputation and they will destroy her partners.
    2. BJP fortunes will revive and wait for strong leadership emerging from BJP
    3. Akhilesh is my x-factor and my gut feeling is that BJP may try to form govt. with Akhilesh Yadav as CM.
    4. Congress stock will fall sharply in crisis mode
    5. Anti-corruption, black money and other development oriented activist's stock will revive

    Conclusion:

    Mayawati+Others vs Akhilesh+BJP equation looks likely possibility but Mayawati will beat this combo hands down in long run.

    Poll:

    I am adding a poll to see what IREF member think of UP election results.

    My old predictions before election started:

    I am still backing my each and every word. I want it to critically tally with actual happenings after March 6 with your help.

    https://www.indianrealestateforum.co...?p=266#post237
    77
    SP alone
    9.09%
    7
    SP + BJP
    14.29%
    11
    SP + Cong + RLD
    40.26%
    31
    BSP + Others + RLD
    2.60%
    2
    BSP + BJP
    23.38%
    18
    BSP + Congress
    3.90%
    3
    Presidential Rule
    5.19%
    4
    None of above
    1.30%
    1

    The poll is expired.

    Last edited March 4 2012, 03:59 PM.
  • #2

    #2

    Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

    Exit polls by various news channels suggest SP in UP and congress in punjab

    Comment

    • #3

      #3

      Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

      My take -

      https://www.indianrealestateforum.co...=23996&page=71

      Regards
      Sbajaj

      Comment

      • #4

        #4

        Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

        Originally posted by sbajaj View Post

        Koi bhi aaye ..kya farak padta hain...har ek me 1 jugad set hain..

        Comment

        • #5

          #5

          Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

          Can anyone shed some light on the impact of political party in power w.r.t RE specifically in Noida, GN???

          I am new in this forum and looking forward to invest. However, I am unable to decide whether to wait till election gets over or not..What would be the likely impact of it..Any views senior members??

          Comment

          • #6

            #6

            Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

            Originally posted by ankjet View Post
            Exit polls by various news channels suggest SP in UP and congress in punjab
            They were saying Congress is dominating the polls in pre-poll surverys

            Now they say Congress is not well in post-poll survey

            After election results, they will say where is the Congress in UP ? Instead I would like to ask them what kind of surveys were they doing on ground. Were there reports coming from ground or from political managers of influential parties.

            Comment

            • #7

              #7

              Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

              Originally posted by atishay1 View Post
              Can anyone shed some light on the impact of political party in power w.r.t RE specifically in Noida, GN???

              I am new in this forum and looking forward to invest. However, I am unable to decide whether to wait till election gets over or not..What would be the likely impact of it..Any views senior members??
              Any stable government will do well for Noida.

              Noida due to top notch location will do well in any situation but a good govt. will realize its vast potential.

              BSP or SP alone is not good for Noida but involvement of BJP or Congress in govt. will do well for this region due to proximity to Capital region.

              Comment

              • #8

                #8

                Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

                Originally posted by sbajaj View Post
                I too have similar view. Lets see what happens..

                It will be good change for UP for clean and effective development

                Comment

                • #9

                  #9

                  Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

                  BJP will be the king-maker. No change in my stance.

                  http://www.indianrealestateforum.com...8-post527.html

                  Comment

                  • #10

                    #10

                    Re : Who will form Next Govt in UP Poll

                    Originally posted by vicky6 View Post
                    BJP will be the king-maker. No change in my stance.

                    http://www.indianrealestateforum.com...8-post527.html
                    Vicky bhai, ye to 5 phase tak ka hi estimate hai .. last ke 2 phase bhi include kar lo

                    Comment

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