Dear friends,


Media has given full fledged verdict that SP will form the next government in UP.

But according to my astrological observations,

1. Mayawati will emerge leading CM candidate in this election
2. Mulayam Singh Yadav will having fluctuating fortunes in this elections. In first week of January, I had predicted that Mulayam Singh will become irrelevant in this election and he has already become even before results are out. I don't have Akhilesh Yadav horoscope thus he is my X factor but still SP is under Mulayam. Thus, SP will not perform up to the level exit polls are predicting. It will most likely challenge BSP to no 1 position.
3. BJP: I was quite certain that BJP will consolidate smartly and they are doing it. Media has taken U-turn confirms this fact.
4. Congress: Congress will do very badly.

My Seat Predictions
BSP: 120 -140+
SP : 90 -140 (large band due to x-factor of Akhilesh Yadav)
BJP : 80 -110
Congress : 10 - 35 (without RLD)

Post Election Scenario
1. Mayawati will be strong contender of CM post and she is likely to get unexpected support this time around.
2. Mualayam Singh will not be CM of UP
3. BJP will be coalition partner in the new government not in UP but in most of the states.
4. Congress will not have any say in the post poll scenario.

Who votes whom ?
1. Dalits and Most backward class for Mayawati. She would have got very good % of Muslim vote too
2. Upper cast, OBC and Women got divided in between SP & BJP
3. Youth will not influence the election result contrary to Media predictions
4. Thakur votes will play very important role in influencing results

Influential votes:
1. Election results will give clear indication that corruption, democratic rights, black money, Lokpal and development are bigger agendas they voted for.

Future in next 2-3 years:

1. Mayawati will emerge as strong Dalit leader after this election. Her stock will explode at pan India level in next 2 years. But her corruption will give her bad reputation and they will destroy her partners.
2. BJP fortunes will revive and wait for strong leadership emerging from BJP
3. Akhilesh is my x-factor and my gut feeling is that BJP may try to form govt. with Akhilesh Yadav as CM.
4. Congress stock will fall sharply in crisis mode
5. Anti-corruption, black money and other development oriented activist's stock will revive

Conclusion:

Mayawati+Others vs Akhilesh+BJP equation looks likely possibility but Mayawati will beat this combo hands down in long run.

Poll:

I am adding a poll to see what IREF member think of UP election results.

My old predictions before election started:

I am still backing my each and every word. I want it to critically tally with actual happenings after March 6 with your help.

https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ahmedabad-real-estate/237-mall-mania-in-ahmedabad-is-there-room-for-all?p=266#post237
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  • Originally Posted by fatichar
    Could anyone educate about the reasons for good show by SP? What do people hope from them? I find nothing good about then. Whenever I hear the name, only following come to mind:

    Gunda raj
    Corruption
    Die hard muslim support

    Despite of their talks of 18% quota to minorities from OBC quota, how would OBCs have voted for them?


    Is haman mein sabhi nange hain, bhai.. 6 March ko dekhte hain kaun kitne pani mein hai :)
    CommentQuote
  • SP looks like a different party this time..

    Amar Singh out of equation who was one dirty politician...
    DP Yadav kept out
    Netaji giving way to young blood!! Straight party principles...Educated boy just making the right decisions,,,

    SP didnt have an option but to perform to the best of their abilities..With Behen ji's dictatorial approach and all the lathi charges on the SP workers incl NEtaji's near and dear ones the entire SP party worked as a team and connected with aam janta when BehenJi was busy extorting money from the Builders...

    This was much anticipated,,, lot of builders had already started making adjustments under the new regime..

    Farmer litigation, flat buyers, industrialists horrific situation in the region, lack of new jobs and so on and so forth.,..

    bad time for BMW...lets see how much can her illegal wealth save her and more importantly how long!! Bad for Jaypee and Paras,,disastrous for SDS...
    CommentQuote
  • Originally Posted by rrmanglesh
    Vicky bhai, ye to 5 phase tak ka hi estimate hai .. last ke 2 phase bhi include kar lo :)


    I held back my prediction after watching confusion-adding post-polls by various channels.

    Just to show that there are some swimmers against the current, I take my final call that BJP will emerge 2nd party with 115 seats since it has done outstandingly well in Paschim Uttar Pradesh and has emerged largest party in paschim Uttar Pradesh (with 60+ seats in 145+ seats in the region).

    Till 6th March, everyone is entitled to assume their party has won and opponents have lost badly :).
    CommentQuote
  • Originally Posted by commener
    Sirf Baccho ka sahi samay or place pata hai mujhe !!!!!

    Good luck and best wishes !!!!!!!

    Aap to pata nahi kis desh me ho yahan NCR me to 12.30 ho chuke hain, bahut need aa rahi hai dost !!!!

    Shubh Ratri !!!!!!

    DP


    Good Night !!

    Don't worry, PM me if something is bothering you regarding Kids.
    If just for curiosity and you don't believe then please avoid as I get lots of genuine issues for advice and I struggle to find time for them.

    I am writing here for fun and I have lots of interest in politics and thus learning something new.

    FYI - Mundane astrology (astrology of politics, nations, wars, natural event) is very different from Natal astrology (astrology of individual). Most of Indian astrologers do Natal astrology and aint good at Mundane astrology which requires different skill set.
    CommentQuote
  • Most probable govt in UP is SP or SP+Cong.
    And Noida property will be in lack of confidence for atleast one or two month after govt formation.
    CommentQuote
  • Originally Posted by varshneyiet
    Most probable govt in UP is SP or SP+Cong.
    And Noida property will be in lack of confidence for atleast one or two month after govt formation.


    Not only Noida property but Indian market will lack of confidence if useless Congress continue to dictate terms .. Congress is not known for development agenda but burdening tax payers with inefficient socialist schemes tailor-made to rule not govern !!

    I don't know Akhilesh Yadav but if UP junta want to try him then I wish he emerges as Nitish Kumar of UP with BJP support. Congress will kill SP for Muslim votes !!
    CommentQuote
  • Ok since this discussion is not about our preferencrs but what is good for the region.my take is a strong sp on which congress will depend hravily at tge center is the best that could happen for noida. A yadav can tgereafter ask for whatever he wants from the center.

    all airports etc could become reality. noida is each cms showcase of devrlopment to tge media and outside world if your long term ambitions are bigger than noida.

    some builders ckuld face difficulty but for noida all positive.
    CommentQuote
  • SP+BJP Sounds unbelievable to me... But politics makes strange bedfellows
    Originally Posted by rrmanglesh
    Dear friends,


    Media has given full fledged verdict that SP will form the next government in UP.

    But according to my astrological observations,

    1. Mayawati will emerge leading CM candidate in this election
    2. Mulayam Singh Yadav will having fluctuating fortunes in this elections. In first week of January, I had predicted that Mulayam Singh will become irrelevant in this election and he has already become even before results are out. I don't have Akhilesh Yadav horoscope thus he is my X factor but still SP is under Mulayam. Thus, SP will not perform up to the level exit polls are predicting. It will most likely challenge BSP to no 1 position.
    3. BJP: I was quite certain that BJP will consolidate smartly and they are doing it. Media has taken U-turn confirms this fact.
    4. Congress: Congress will do very badly.

    My Seat Predictions
    BSP: 120 -140
    SP : 90 -140 (large band due to x-factor of Akhilesh Yadav)
    BJP : 80 -110
    Congress : 10 - 35 (without RLD)

    Post Election Scenario
    1. Mayawati will be strong contender of CM post and she is likely to get unexpected support this time around.
    2. Mualayam Singh will not be CM of UP
    3. BJP will be coalition partner in the new government not in UP but in most of the states.
    4. Congress will not have any say in the post poll scenario.

    Who votes whom ?
    1. Dalits and Most backward class for Mayawati. She would have got very good % of Muslim vote too
    2. Upper cast, OBC and Women got divided in between SP & BJP
    3. Youth will not influence the election result contrary to Media predictions
    4. Thakur votes will play very important role in influencing results

    Influential votes:
    1. Election results will give clear indication that corruption, democratic rights, black money, Lokpal and development are bigger agendas they voted for.

    Future in next 2-3 years:

    1. Mayawati will emerge as strong Dalit leader after this election. Her stock will explode at pan India level in next 2 years. But her corruption will give her bad reputation and they will destroy her partners.
    2. BJP fortunes will revive and wait for strong leadership emerging from BJP
    3. Akhilesh is my x-factor and my gut feeling is that BJP will form govt. with Akhilesh Yadav as CM.
    4. Congress stock will fall sharply in crisis mode
    5. Anti-corruption, black money and other development oriented activist's stock will revive

    Conclusion:

    Mayawati+Others vs Akhilesh+BJP equation looks likely possibility but Mayawati will beat this combo hands down in long run.

    Poll:

    I am adding a poll to see what IREF member think of UP election results.

    My old predictions before election started:

    I am still backing my each and every word. I want it to critically tally with actual happenings after March 6 with your help.

    https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ahmedabad-real-estate/237-mall-mania-in-ahmedabad-is-there-room-for-all?p=266#post237
    CommentQuote
  • Can it be BSP + cong ?

    उत्तर प्रदेश में बसपा-कांग्रेस के गठजोड़ की आहट
    लखनऊ/इन्दुशेखर पंचोली।
    Story Update : Sunday, March 04, 2012 2:11 AM

    यूपी महासमर का आखिरी वोट पड़ते ही एनआरएचएम घोटाले के ‘खलनायक’ बाबूसिंह कुशवाहा की गिरफ्तारी महज जांच-प्रक्रिया का हिस्सा है। सीबीआई और कांग्रेस का यह तर्क किसी समझदार के गले नहीं उतर सकता। असल में, कांग्रेस के सत्ता-संग्राम का यह नया दांव है। सीधे-सीधे कहें तो मायावती केलिए यह एक बड़ा संकेत है, उसे खुश करने की कोशिश भी और नतीजों का गणित गड़बड़ा जाने पर डराने का हथियार भी।

    बसपा के लिए साथ आने का परोक्ष न्योता
    गिरफ्तारी के निहितार्थ इसी तरह पढ़े जाने चाहिए। और इस तरह भी कि पूरे चुनाव अभियान में कांग्रेस ने जिस तरह भांति-भांति के दांव चले, उसके नेता आरक्षण का झुनझुना दिखाकर मुसलमानों को भरमाते रहे, चुनाव आयोग तक को गरियाते रहे, दो तिहाई बहुमत के दावों के बीच राष्ट्रपति शासन का भय दिखाते रहे, कुशवाहा की गिरफ्तारी उसी कड़ी का एक हिस्सा है और वैसा ही दांव है। बसपा के लिए साथ आने का परोक्ष न्योता भी, लेकिन इस चेतावनी के साथ कि उनका मोहरा उन्हीं के खिलाफ चल सकता है।

    अधीरता में कुछ भी मुमकिन
    देश की सियासत के सबसे महत्वपूर्ण प्रदेश का ताज हथियाने केलिए कांग्रेस की अधीरता किसी से छिपी नहीं है। वह हर तरह का विकल्प खुला रखना चाहती है, दो नावों में पांव रखकर चलने से भी उसे परहेज नहीं है। सपा को अंगूठा दिखाकर कांग्रेस का दामन थामने वाले दल-बदलू समाजवादियों का ताकतवर तबका किसी कीमत पर मुलायम सिंह यादव के साथ दोस्ती नहीं होने देना चाहता। उन्हें मायावती का साथ लेने-देने में कोई परेशानी नहीं दिखती। कांग्रेस की ओर से सीएम पद के स्वयंभू दावेदार बेनी प्रसाद वर्मा इसकी सार्वजनिक पहल कर चुके हैं। अपने पुराने साथी मुलायम को आड़े हाथों लेने का वे कोई मौका नहीं छोड़ते, लेकिन उन्होंने हाल में चौंकाया मायावती की तारीफ करके। साथ ही, ऑफ-द-रिकॉर्ड यह भी कहा कि चुनाव बाद सोनिया गांधी मायावती को भी चाय पर बुला सकती हैं।

    लालच कम नहीं....
    याद कीजिए, शुरुआत में कांग्रेस नेतृत्व को समाजवादी पार्टी के साथ एक पाले में खड़े होने में कोई दिक्कत नहीं थी। सपा और उसकेसुप्रीमो को लेकर राहुल की भाषा संयत थी, बांहें भी नहीं चढ़तीं थीं। लेकिन, जब मैदानी खबरों से खुलासा हुआ कि इससे पार्टी को फायदा नहीं मिल रहा, तो सुर ही नहीं, तेवर भी बदल गए। माया-राज और पैसे खाने वाले हाथियों केसाथ मुलायम और उनका भूतकालीन गुंडाराज और पंक्चर साइकिल केजुमले भी भाषण में शुमार हो गए। मानो बेनी की जुबान ही पूरी कांग्रेस पर शाया हो गई। ऐसे में चुनाव केबाद बेनी प्रसाद ही नहीं रशीद मसूद, रीता बहुगुणा से लेकर राज बब्बर, किस मुंह से अपनी पुरानी पार्टी केमुखिया केसाथ चलेंगे? वहीं, मायावती को साथ लेने पर उनकेपीछे खड़ी दलित वोटों की चट्टान, कांग्रेस को ललचाने के लिए पर्याप्त है।

    खुशी तो उनकेलिए भी
    कुशवाहा की गिरफ्तारी की खुशी महज नसीमुद्दीन सिद्दीकी को ही नहीं मायावती को भी हुई होगी। भाजपा की वकालत कुशवाहा ने भले धीमी रफ्तार से की हो, आखिर तक वे सीधे मायावती पर हमलावर हो गए थे। पहले दरबारियों से खतरा बता रहे थे, बाद में सीधे मायावती पर निशाना था। ऐसे में, एक्जिट पोल केनतीजों की गर्मी से असहज हुईं मायावती को थोड़ी तो ठंडक पहुंची ही होगी। सियासत केजानकार मान रहे हैं कि मुलायम की सरकार बनने से रोकने केलिए मायावती भरसक कोशिश करेंगी, उसमें कांग्रेस का साथ मिल जाएगा तो उसकी ताकत निश्चित ही बढ़ेगी।

    ...तो असली खिलाड़ी पर मेहरबानी क्यों
    जांच-प्रक्रिया के तहत ही गिरफ्तारी करनी होती, तो एफआईआर दर्ज होने केसाथ ही हो सकती थी। सीबीआई केसूत्र मानते हैं कि तब से आज तक हालात या दस्तावेजों में ऐसा कुछ नहीं बदला, सुबूत भी उतने ही हैं। कुशवाहा को जब पहली बार पूछताछ केलिए दिल्ली बुलाया था, तब वे इसी मानसिकता केसाथ गए थे कि उनकी गिरफ्तारी तय है। लेकिन, तब उन्हें पूरे प्रदेश में घूम-घूमकर बसपा के खिलाफ माहौल बनाने केलिए वैसे ही बख्श दिया, जैसे अमरसिंह को इलाज के नाम सलाखों से बाहर निकाल उनकी पुरानी पार्टी पर हमलावर होने का मौका दिया गया। सवाल यह भी है कि एनआरएचएम घोटाले के असली खिलाड़ी आईएएस प्रदीप शुक्ला अब तक बाहर कैसे हैं?

    6 तक करिए इंतजार
    असल में, कांग्रेस और बसपा केस्वार्थ साझा हो रहे हैं। जो कांग्रेसी मुलायम को अगला रेलमंत्री बता रहे थे, उनकी जुबान भी अब बदल रही है। लेकिन, कांग्रेस का कुशवाहा-दांव, तुरुप बन पाएगा...यह छह मार्च को ही तय होगा।

    Amar Ujala
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  • Seems distant possibility, but nothing can be ruled out..

    If BSP+Cong, It will positively impact noida, GN, YE buyers
    CommentQuote
  • RLD may support SP

    RLD leaves door ajar for SP tie-up
    Pankaj Shah, TNN | Mar 4, 2012, 03.38AM IST


    LUCKNOW: With exit polls indicating that SP was leading the race for forming the UP government but may fall short of the magic figure in the 403-strong house, Congress's ally RLD indicated that it may consider supporting Mulayam Singh Yadav for chief ministership.

    Party boss Ajit Singh's son Jayant Chaudhary did not rule out the possibility of a fresh tie-up with SP in Lucknow, although he refused to comment on indications that the party was tilting towards joining hands with Mulayam.

    "Our doors are open to the Samajwadi Party," a senior RLD leader told TOI.

    Exit polls suggested that the RLD may get 10 seats which will be of crucial importance for SP's efforts to muster enough numbers from smaller parties and independents to ward off the prospect of the state being put under President's rule.

    In 2007, RLD had contested in alliance with SP. While SP got 97 seats, RLD bagged 10.

    'Contesting to form govt'

    "We are contesting to form the government," said the RLD leader. Asked if the party would support any of the three parties, the leader said they won't support BJP and BSP at any cost. "BJP is a communal party, while we are contesting against Mayawati's BSP," the leader said.

    Ajit Singh, too, had been categorical in ruling out any truck with BJP and BSP, but had chosen to remain silent on SP. But a tie-up with SP could make his position in the UPA-II tricky, as after the alliance with Congress in UP, he was given a Cabinet berth as civil aviation minister.

    Jayant, an MP from Mathura, was roped in the UP poll fray, indicating RLD's keenness to be in power. "It is up to the RLD-Congress top leadership to decide what role I'll play in the future," Jayant had told TOI.
    CommentQuote
  • Thanks brother for showing genuine concern !!!!!!!

    No problem so far regarding kids !!!!!

    Will not trouble you unless it is absolutely necessary !!!!!!

    Thanks once again !!!!

    DP

    Originally Posted by rrmanglesh
    Good Night !!

    Don't worry, PM me if something is bothering you regarding Kids.
    If just for curiosity and you don't believe then please avoid as I get lots of genuine issues for advice and I struggle to find time for them.

    I am writing here for fun and I have lots of interest in politics and thus learning something new.

    FYI - Mundane astrology (astrology of politics, nations, wars, natural event) is very different from Natal astrology (astrology of individual). Most of Indian astrologers do Natal astrology and aint good at Mundane astrology which requires different skill set.
    CommentQuote
  • Be happy and think poitive.
    By the way, If SP comes in power, this region may get freehold though freehold and leasehold don't bother much to me.
    CommentQuote
  • Cookie bhai,

    Do you really think that SP will make NOIDA freehold as they promised ?????

    DP

    Originally Posted by cookie
    Be happy and think poitive.
    By the way, If SP comes in power, this region may get freehold though freehold and leasehold don't bother much to me.
    CommentQuote
  • You can go by words only. Rest God knows.
    CommentQuote