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International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

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International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

Last updated: May 23 2012
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  • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

    Originally posted by wiseman View Post
    Welcome back Blogger.

    We too are sinking slowly. But since others are sinking faster, we look like we are rising!

    cheers
    Not all countries were battered by Global Financial Crisis.

    To name a few:

    China, Brazil, Australia,Singapore, Argentina and many Asian countries and sub Saharan African countries are just doing fine.

    May be Indian Goverment should build a Nova's Ark and put 1 each of doomsdayerss, Boomsayer,Spin master, Story writers, Verbiage spet and Long shot web spinners in the Novas Ark and when the world sinks in the dooms day flood they can be saved to reemerge to form a Boom Vs Gloom world.

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    • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

      Which planet you visited in 2008-09 ...

      Originally posted by Economist View Post
      Not all countries were battered by Global Financial Crisis.

      To name a few:

      China, Brazil, Australia,Singapore, Argentina and many Asian countries and sub Saharan African countries are just doing fine.

      May be Indian Goverment should build a Nova's Ark and put 1 each of doomsdayerss, Boomsayer,Spin master, Story writers, Verbiage spet and Long shot web spinners in the Novas Ark and when the world sinks in the dooms day flood they can be saved to reemerge to form a Boom Vs Gloom world.
      China had severe problem of employment in 2008 and millions of people left cities to go back to their villages from where they came to seek work. Even today, a large chunk of GDP is from construction which is why China continues to pump money into construction despite having the largest SURPLUS in housing and commercial space in the world - even whole cities ... all empty! Check pictures of ORDOS below ...

      The Bovespa went from 73000 in April 2008 to 30000 by late 2008 and is back around 70000.

      Australia's RE bubble is considered even bigger than the US and almost as big as China's and out of reach for most Australians. Ready to burst again

      Singapore also suffered a large fall in 2008. Last quarter GDP fell by a significant 15% and this tiny country faces substantial volatility in its business environment

      Argentina continues to go in and out of Hyperinflation and is on the cusp of another now - along with neighbour Venezuela

      So, where did you disappear all these days? Or. do you think this kind of dips and volatility is Blue-sky economic behavior?

      cheers
      Attached Files
      Last edited November 2 2010, 01:56 AM.

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      • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

        Interest Rates on the Rise

        Effect of Interest Rate Hike?

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        • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

          I read thru this thread. Very interesting.

          Can someone enlighten me on just what has been happening in Chennai RE for the last 6 months? Have there been huge number of new launches like in Delhi NCR? Has the price appreciated? I am out of touch.

          I personally believe in 30% (in 30-60% range) stocks, 30% bond/FD (in 20-50% range), 30% RE (or RE equivalent stocks if your portfolio is small) in a 20-50% range and 10% g-old (in a range of 2-10%)

          I personally believe in always holding all 4 asset classes and only varying the proportions within the indicated range. Through 2000-2008 I was in 60% stock, 20% RE proxy (hotel stock only, did not like DLF etc) and 20% bonds/FD.

          For the uncertain times of today which Wiseman always takes pleasure in predicting (and I take great pleasure in reading) I prefer the maximally diversified 30-30-30-10 distribution. I am however still in the shifting process, currently only in 30% stock, 60% FD/equivalent, 8% in RE (booking) and 2% g-old ETF. I plan to reach my targetted allocation only by 2012. If all goes well. I plan to hold this allocation till global imbalances settle down.

          I would recommend it to one and all, adjusted for personal requirements.

          Rate rise will make for a price stagnation in Gurgaon and NOIDA. There will be slowdown in new bookings. Bank loan growth will slow and their stock price seems primed for a 10-15% fall.

          Rupee should firm a little more.

          We need to wait for the fed - if QE-2 is less than anticipated, dollar should strengthen and gol-d should fall.

          If gol-d falls 10-15% in dollars and Rupee dollar stays where it is, it would be a perfect g-old buying opportunity.
          Last edited November 3 2010, 01:06 AM.
          Venky (Please read watch a or before posting)

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          • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

            The forum has been on long enough to catch all doomsayers and boom-sayers

            can anyone from the doom-sayers camp cite ..ONE ...Just one prediction which came true..if not its better to stop filling up space with charts and pictures
            Last edited November 3 2010, 08:09 PM.

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            • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

              At the current state of affairs no one would want a dooms day. Dooms day of the past were manageable and could be recovered back in a decent timeframe. As people have said in this post , the growth has been tremendous and unhealthy and it is beyond the control of the system. So, the growth going forward will be controlled and not reversed.

              But ...if the judgement day is inevitable and is being postponed ...we are awaiting a worldwide economic disaster...

              This thread is amazing with various views and point being discussed !!!

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              • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

                2G Scam 1,40,000 Lakh Crores

                http://www.hindustantimes.com/2G-sca...e1-611039.aspx

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                • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

                  home prices may fall soon?

                  http://business.rediff.com/slide-sho...-fall-soon.htm

                  its an article in rediff...which aims mainly at the no. of hits . but there is some substance even if there are lot of 'experts say' type of speculations.

                  might be good news for prospective buyers if it happens

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                  • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

                    Originally posted by sri_idea View Post
                    The forum has been on long enough to catch all doomsayers and boom-sayers

                    can anyone from the doom-sayers camp cite ..ONE ...Just one prediction which came true..if not its better to stop filling up space with charts and pictures
                    Sri_idea- Good one.

                    Basically i have observed that there are 10% people on this forum who believe that world will end in 2012(including Indian economy ) and 80% believe that what they are saying is true and they keep on discussing.
                    Only 10% like u and me think this is crap and India will continue to BOOM.

                    Lets think about our children and we will never feel that there is DOOM around
                    MM

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                    • Re : International Market: Where World Economy Going On ?

                      Munish...about why there are people who like these doom and gloom theories - its all an interesting read basically isn't it ?. where else can you find info about china, singapore australia...read all the posts and your knowledge in geography will improve for a start.

                      and you can of course update your knowledge about wheat price movement in congo, money printing practice in zimbabwe, oil companies in nigeria and weather patterns in antartica

                      and finally all come to the conclusion 50% price drop in Indian RE 'shortly'. - Its nice to hear such pleasing things even if we know its crap -like people buying lottery ...just for the thought that this might be your last week at work!!. moreover talking about all complex stuff makes you look good (even posh)

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